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Does Technical Analysis Win?

Neves, Maria Elisabete , Leite, Joana , Neves, Renato

ISLA — Instituto Politécnico de Gestão e Tecnologia

Handbook of Research on New Challenges and Global Outlooks in Financial Risk Management, 2022 Published by: IGI Global

The main goal of this chapter is to analyze the performance of four investment strategies within a recent period of international political uncertainties. RSI and MACD supported three competing investment strategies, which were compared to the conservative Buy and Hold strategy. Euro Stoxx 50 Index was selected through the Markowitz Theory, and the DAX index was established as a benchmark. The period considered was between the start of Donald Trump's official campaign to the US elections and the first date set for Brexit. Two subsequent additional studies were performed to evaluate their profitability. The entry and exit points were determined by international economic reports. Alternative time lengths for the RSI window were considered. The results suggest that, when the market is bear or undefined, the investor should have a strategy supported on technical analysis and he should consider more than one indicator to increase the information that is taken from the market. The passive Buy and Hold strategy should be considered when the market is considered a bull market.

Keywords

#technical analysis #RSI #MACD #buy-and-hold strategy #investment strategy performance #Trump election #Brexit #Euro Stoxx 50 #DAX #bull and bear markets #Profitability index #Index (typography) #Investment strategy #Economics #Investment (military) #Benchmark (surveying)

Bibliographic Details

Publication Type Book chapter

Publication Year 2022

Journal / Conference / Work Handbook of Research on New Challenges and Global Outlooks in Financial Risk Management

ISSN 2327-5677

Publisher IGI Global

ISLA Authors & Affiliations

Does Technical Analysis Win?

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Bibliographic Details

ISLA Authors & Affiliations